BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.27 %

Entry

75,664.87

Target

75,208.42 +0.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

80,962.00 −7.00 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,595 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,595 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +20.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.12) ▼ Bearish 95 % (38.68)

model score 94.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 5h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.36
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.27
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 30m with very strong strength and 86% probability.
Multiple indicators align: BOP, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA all retreating.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, strongest on 30m and 1h.
Watch support at 75208.42; a break below confirms downside, resistance at 80962.00 is the invalidation level.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a suite of retreat indicators (KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA). The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up adds nuance, suggesting price briefly bounced off the lower band but is now resuming the downward path. With an 86% probability and very strong strength, the immediate bias is firmly lower, targeting the nearest support at 75208.42.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though its strength diminishes on higher timeframes. The 30m and 1h charts show very strong trends (4/5), while 15m and 2h are solid (3/5). From 4h up to 1d, the trend is only forming (2/5), indicating that the larger picture is still developing. This alignment supports the short-term sell signal but cautions against overextending the view. Key levels to watch are resistance at 80962.00 and support at 75208.42; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple retreat indicators and BOP Zero Cross Down.
▼ Strong trend alignment on 30m and 1h timeframes (4/5).
▼ Price retreating from lower Bollinger Band, indicating continued downside pressure.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, supporting the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (4h to 1d) are only forming, so the bearish move may lack long-term momentum.
▲ A reclaim of resistance at 80962.00 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up could signal a potential bounce if price holds above support.
▲ Momentum may fade if price approaches support without breaking it, leading to consolidation.