AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %

Entry

0.69280

Target

0.68796 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70246 −1.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 826 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 5h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.85
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.11
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to a short-term reversal.
Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the 0.70246 resistance and 0.68796 support as key levels.
A break below support would confirm the downtrend; a move above resistance invalidates.

The 30-minute AUD/USD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, retreats from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200, a High Wave Bearish candlestick, and a Bearish Harami. Together these indicate a loss of buying momentum and a shift toward selling pressure on the short-term timeframe. The pullback from the moving averages suggests that the recent upward move has stalled, and the candlestick patterns reinforce the bearish reversal narrative.

While the 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes still show bullish trends, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) are all bearish, aligning with the sell signal. This suggests that the short-term bullish momentum is likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 and support at 0.68796 provide the key levels to watch; a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals on the 30-minute timeframe.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are all bearish, adding confluence.
▼ Price retreating from both EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggests rejection at resistance.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami and High Wave Bearish) reinforce the reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15m to 2H) are still bullish, which could counter the sell signal.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.70246 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI or stochastic indicators show oversold conditions.
▲ A strong bounce from the 0.68796 support could trap sellers.