BTC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.51 %

Entry

73,870.02

Target

72,741.30 +1.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,196.01 −9.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.19 % per trade 1,177 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,177 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

28 % at target avg +3.87 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.27 % 26 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.54 % 22 % at stop avg −5.18 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, DEMA Break Down, Momentum Hidden Bear Div +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

47.1 % ↑ +9.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +41% Swing

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.91) ▼ Bearish 95 % (50.14)

model score 33.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 11h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	3.10
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	3.00
▼	Momentum Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.68
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.64
▼	MCGD Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.30
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.19
▼	RSI Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.14
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	1.14
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators on the 8H chart, with 94% probability and very strong strength.
All intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish, but the daily is choppy/sideways, limiting confidence in a sustained downtrend.
Watch 81196.01000 as key resistance; a retest could offer a short entry if price rejects.
Extreme low ZSCORE suggests price is stretched, raising the risk of a corrective bounce.

The 8H BTC/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength, backed by a broad cluster of indicators including BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, DEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, KDJ Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, MCGD Retreat Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, and ZSCORE Extreme Low. This confluence of breakdowns across multiple trend-following and momentum oscillators points to persistent selling pressure, reinforced by bearish divergence signals. The trend is consistently bearish across all intraday timeframes from 15m up to 12h, with the 2h showing a very strong trend (4/5) and 4h/8h/12h solid (3/5), although the daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting the broader picture lacks a clear downtrend and could limit downside follow-through.

Key resistance sits at 81196.01000, which now acts as a critical pivot; a retest of this level could provide a shorting opportunity if price rejects. With no nearest support defined, downside targets are unclear, so traders should rely on structure and momentum rather than predefined levels. The extreme low ZSCORE warns that price is stretched below its mean, which could lead to a snap-back rally despite the bearish setup. Overall, the signal favors further downside in the short term, but the daily chop and stretched conditions warrant caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Broad alignment of breakdown signals (DEMA, MAMA, ALMA, KELTNER) confirms strong bearish momentum.
▼ Bearish divergence adds to the confluence, reinforcing the sell signal.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes (2h very strong, 4h/8h/12h solid) supports continued downside.
▼ High probability (94%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Daily timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5 trend score), which could mean the broader trend lacks direction and may stall the move.
▲ ZSCORE extreme low suggests price is overextended below its mean, increasing the likelihood of a short-term bounce.
▲ No defined nearest support means downside targets are unclear, making it harder to manage risk.
▲ If price breaks back above 81196.01000, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a reversal could occur.