EUR/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %

Entry

176.874

Target

175.073 +1.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

178.482 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 653 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 653 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

09:00TodayEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1h
19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 11h
00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.64
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.36
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.15
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.02
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.95
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on EUR/JPY 4H with 82% probability and multiple retreat indicators aligned.
Momentum is confirmed by BOP zero cross down and STOCHRSI KD cross down.
Bearish trend is consistent across timeframes from 1H to 1D, supporting the sell bias.
Key levels: resistance at 178.48200, support at 175.07300.

The EUR/JPY 4H signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish, with a strong 82% probability and a cluster of 14 retreat-type signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, HT Trendline) all pointing to downside momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the STOCHRSI KD Cross Down adds a momentum shift. This confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns suggests a coordinated bearish move.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from 1H through 1D, with solid trend scores on the 1H and 2H charts. The 4H itself is in a forming trend, which supports the idea that the sell-off is still developing. The nearest resistance at 178.48200 is the level to watch for any bounce, while the nearest support at 175.07300 is the first downside target. A break below support could open the door to further declines, but until then, the bearish setup remains intact.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, HT Trendline) all pointing down.
▼ BOP zero cross down and STOCHRSI KD cross down add momentum confirmation.
▼ Bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes provides strong alignment.
▼ Price is below resistance, with support not yet tested, leaving room for downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, which could cause a short-term bounce.
▲ The 4H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may still be building and could stall.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 178.48200, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on higher timeframes (8H) could lead to range-bound action.