AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 17:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.44 %

Entry

0.97248

Target

0.97834 +0.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.96490 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 2h
13:30November 16, 2026CADCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 3 days
13:30November 16, 2026CADCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.51
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.74
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.47
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.15
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
All timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend setup with limited upside unless resistance breaks.
Watch the 0.97834 resistance — a break could extend the bounce, while a drop below 0.96490 invalidates the setup.
Momentum indicators (STOCHRSI, BOP) and candlestick patterns are aligning for a possible corrective move higher.

The AUD/CAD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals — a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, Keltner Lower retreat, Bullish Harami Cross, and Long Legged Doji. Together, they indicate a sharp reversal attempt from the lows, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish on the intraday timeframe. The candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami and Long Legged Doji) suggest indecision and potential exhaustion of selling pressure, while the trendline break and oscillator crosses confirm early buying interest.

However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, with the strongest bearish trends on 15m, 30m, 8h, and 12h. This suggests the bullish signals are counter-trend and may represent a corrective bounce rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.97834 is a key hurdle; a break above it would signal strengthening bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.96490 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple confluence signals: trendline break, momentum cross, and bullish candlestick patterns.
▲ Keltner Lower retreat and HMA retreat indicate price pulling back from oversold conditions.
▲ High signal strength (very_strong) and 100% probability suggests strong conviction in the short-term move.
▲ Nearest support at 0.96490 has held so far, providing a base for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Overwhelming bearish trend across all timeframes — the bounce may be short-lived and fade.
▼ Resistance at 0.97834 is nearby and could cap upside; a rejection there would confirm weakness.
▼ If price breaks below 0.96490, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Counter-trend signals often have lower reliability; wait for confirmation on higher timeframes.