AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.26 %
Entry
0.68546
Target
0.69309 +1.11 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.67904 −0.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 2h
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 2h
  • TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 78%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.77
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 1.19
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.13
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on the 1H are firing after oversold conditions, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
  • The signal is a counter-trend bounce; watch the 0.69309 resistance for potential upside limits.
  • The 0.68542 support is the key invalidation level—if broken, the bullish setup is void.
  • Momentum is aligning for a short-term bounce, but trend strength on higher timeframes argues for caution.
The AUD/USD 1H signal has fired a cluster of momentum oscillators turning upward from oversold conditions, including the BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, and ULTOSC OS Exit. These are complemented by the HMA Retreat Up and an additional candlestick signal, suggesting a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of multiple oversold exits and crossovers on the 1H timeframe indicates that buying pressure is emerging, but the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish, which caps the upside potential.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish from 15m up to the daily, with the strongest bearish momentum on the 15m (4/5) and solid trends on the 30m, 1h, and 8h. The 1H signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.69309, which aligns with the bearish trend's pullback zone, and the nearest support at 0.68542, which serves as the invalidation level for the bullish signal. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a loss of support would confirm the bearish trend's continuation.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (ULTOSC, KDJ, STOCHF) confirm bullish momentum shift.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and HMA Retreat Up add confluence for a reversal attempt.
  • ▲ The 1H signal has a high probability (79%) and strong strength, indicating robust signal alignment.
  • ▲ The candlestick signal adds a price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could overwhelm the 1H bounce, leading to a quick reversal.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.69309 is a likely ceiling; failure to break it may see the pair resume its downtrend.
  • ▼ Momentum on the 15m is very strongly bearish, which could pull the 1H back down.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 0.68542 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely continues.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 78%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.69309 2026-11-09
R2 0.70246 2026-11-05
R3 0.70431 2026-10-30
S1 0.68542 2026-11-06

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