AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 14:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.27 %

Entry

0.68747

Target

0.69301 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68560 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ADX Trend Strong, CMO OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 5h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.89
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the broader trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Key levels: resistance at 0.69301 and support at 0.68560.
The Bullish Harami and oscillator crossovers indicate a potential reversal, but it may be a counter-trend move.
A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case; a break below support would invalidate it.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of BUY signals, including a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, an ADX Trend Strong reading, and multiple oscillator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down). Together, these suggest that downside momentum is waning and a short-term bounce may be underway. The confluence of candlestick and indicator signals adds weight to the counter-trend move, but the overall trend across timeframes remains bearish, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily showing bearish alignment. The 30-minute signal is therefore best viewed as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with resistance at 0.69301 and support at 0.68560 as the key levels to watch.

Given the bearish alignment across all higher timeframes, the bullish signal is likely a corrective bounce rather than a reversal. The moderate strength and 73% probability suggest some conviction, but the lack of bullish confirmation on higher timeframes means the move could be limited. A break above the nearest resistance at 0.69301 would be needed to challenge the broader bearish structure, while a loss of the support at 0.68560 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and any shift in higher-timeframe trends before committing to longer-term longs.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of candlestick and indicator signals (Bullish Harami, BOP, CMO, STOCHRSI, ERI).
▲ ADX Trend Strong suggests the current bearish trend is strong, but the oscillator crossovers hint at a momentum shift.
▲ The signal's probability of 73% and moderate strength indicate a reasonable edge.
▲ The bounce is occurring near support, which could attract buyers.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend bounce that could fade.
▼ A break below the support at 0.68560 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to erratic price action.
▼ The 15M and 8H trends are solidly bearish, potentially capping upside.