AUD/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.23 %

Entry

0.68702

Target

0.68542 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70246 −2.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 665 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 665 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, MA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 7h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.54
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.37
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.26
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.25
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.23
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	2.06
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.06
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.97
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.71
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart with multiple breakdowns and momentum shifts.
All timeframes are bearish, with solid trends on 15m and 8h supporting the move.
Watch the 0.70246 resistance and 0.68542 support as key levels for continuation or reversal.
The high probability (79%) and strong trend strength suggest a high-confidence setup.

The 4H AUD/USD signal is strongly bearish, backed by a high-probability (79%) confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The AROON indicators confirm a strong uptrend that has just crossed down, while the AROONOSC zero cross up and CCI zero cross down reflect a shift in momentum. The breakdowns of the EMA, KAMA, and HT trendline all point to sustained downward pressure. This is reinforced by a bearish alignment across all monitored timeframes, with solid trends on the 15m and 8h charts, and trend formation on the intermediate and daily timeframes.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70246 and support at 0.68542. A break below support could extend the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The strong trend scores and multiple breakdowns suggest the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should monitor for any signs of momentum fading or a higher-timeframe reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, KAMA, HT trendline) all broke down simultaneously.
▼ AROON and AROONOSC confirm a momentum shift from uptrend to downtrend.
▼ CCI zero cross down adds to the bearish momentum signal.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on 15m and 8h.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is only forming (2/5), so the move could lack follow-through.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.70246 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the CCI or AROONOSC start to turn up.
▲ The 2H chart is choppy/sideways, which may lead to consolidation before further decline.