EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 14:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.26 %

Entry

1.62752

Target

1.59900 +1.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.63352 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 681 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 681 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.46 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 16 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

09:15November 16, 2026EURBbk Executive Board Member Mauderer Speech●●○in 2 days
10:00November 16, 2026EURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous -0.5%in 2 days
10:05November 17, 2026EURZEW Economic Sentiment Indicator●●●in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.20
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

SELL signal is weak (56%) and against the broader bullish trend across most timeframes.
Momentum is mixed: AROON shows uptrend, but BOP, TEMA, and STOCHF indicate fading strength.
Watch support at 1.59900; a break could extend the pullback, while resistance at 1.62874 is the key hurdle.
Treat as a short-term corrective trade, not a trend reversal.

The EUR/AUD 4H signal is a SELL, but it aligns against a broadly bullish trend across most timeframes, with the 15m and 8h showing solid uptrends (3/5) and others forming (2/5). The signal is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend suggest the short-term uptrend is accelerating, yet AROONOSC Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate fading momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down and TEMA Retreat Down point to selling pressure and a pullback in the moving average, while HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and CTI OB Entry add to the bearish short-term case. This is a weak, 56% probability signal, so it likely represents a corrective move within the larger bullish structure rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.62874 and support at 1.59900. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a failure to hold below resistance could see the pullback stall. Given the conflicting higher timeframe trend, the sell signal is best treated as a short-term trade with tight risk management, with the invalidation level likely above the recent highs near resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, TEMA, STOCHF, HT PHASOR) align for a bearish pullback.
▼ CTI OB Entry suggests overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a retracement.
▼ Nearest support at 1.59900 provides a clear downside target if selling pressure persists.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m, 8h) are in solid uptrends, which could overpower the bearish signal.
▲ Aroon indicators are still showing strong uptrend, contradicting the sell signal.
▲ If price holds above 1.62874 resistance, the pullback may fail and reverse higher.
▲ Weak signal strength (56%) and low probability reduce confidence in the trade.