EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 17:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %

Entry

1.11564

Target

1.12682 +1.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11309 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,845 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 736 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 1h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 1h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.23
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.85
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish signals (BOP, STOCHRSI, HMA) suggest a potential bounce, but the broader trend is bearish.
Conflicting signals (EMA Death Cross, Ichimoku TK Cross Down) reduce confidence in the BUY direction.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12682, support at 1.11309; a break of support invalidates the bullish case.
Weak signal strength (59%) and bearish alignment on lower timeframes indicate a counter-trend move.

The EUR/USD 1H signal fires a BUY despite a predominantly bearish trend across most timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate short-term bullish momentum, while the HMA Retreat Up suggests a pullback within the broader downtrend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) points to a potential retracement toward the 24% Fibonacci level, which aligns with the nearest resistance at 1.12682. However, the EMA Cross 20/50 Death Cross and Ichimoku TK Cross Down are bearish signals, creating a conflicting picture. The weak signal strength (59%) and the bearish alignment on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) suggest this is likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Given the bearish trend across multiple timeframes, the immediate bias remains downward, but the short-term bullish signals could drive a corrective move toward resistance. The nearest support at 1.11309 is a critical level; a break below would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the downtrend. Conversely, a sustained move above 1.12682 would challenge the bearish structure. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and monitor whether the higher timeframe bearish trends (4H, 1D) reassert control.

Catalysts

▲ Short-term momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI) are turning bullish, suggesting buying pressure.
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicates a pullback within the downtrend, which could extend toward resistance.
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) provides a target level that aligns with the nearest resistance.
▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes are bullish, offering some higher-timeframe support.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H, 30M, and 15M timeframes are all bearish with solid trends, which could overpower the short-term bullish signals.
▼ The EMA Death Cross and Ichimoku TK Cross Down are bearish and may cap upside.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.11309 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ Weak signal strength (59%) and conflicting signals reduce the probability of a sustained move higher.