EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.77 %

Entry

1.12172

Target

1.11309 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12731 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

06:50TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 3h
07:10TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 3h
07:20TodayEURECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech●●○in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.24
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.06
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.88
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.53
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.39
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.32
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.22

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 2H chart signals strong selling pressure.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) align bearish, but higher timeframes remain bullish, creating a mixed outlook.
Watch the 1.11309 support; a break below could open further downside, while 1.12731 is the key resistance to watch.
The 1D trend is bearish, providing some macro alignment with the 2H signal.

The EUR/USD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicator signals, including SAR Flip Bearish, T3 Break Down, AO Saucer Bearish, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, and HMA Direction Down, with additional signals. This confluence indicates strong short-term selling pressure and a likely continuation of the current downtrend. The 15m and 30m timeframes are also bearish, confirming the immediate momentum, while the 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, suggesting the larger trend supports the move.

However, the intermediate timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which creates a conflicting picture. The 2H signal is firing against the prevailing bullish bias on higher timeframes, so the bearish move may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.11309. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (SAR, T3, AO, ERI, SMI, ALMA, HMA) all point bearish, showing strong confluence.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, confirming the immediate momentum.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, supporting the longer-term direction.
▼ The signal probability is rated 100% with very strong strength, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, suggesting the bearish move could be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.12731 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 2H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish momentum may lack full confirmation.
▲ If the price fails to break below support, the selling pressure could fade, leading to a reversal.