NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 16:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.29 %

Entry

0.55897

Target

0.55380 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56496 −1.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,593 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,593 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, T3 Break Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 4h
13:30TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 4h
15:50TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 13× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 13× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.59
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.52
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	2.12
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong on the 30-minute and lower timeframes, with a Death Cross and multiple retreat signals.
The 15-minute and 1-hour trends align with the sell signal, but the 4-hour and 8-hour are bullish and choppy, so caution is warranted.
Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 0.55380; a break below could open further downside.
Resistance at 0.56496 is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup is likely to fail.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, retreats on DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA Price, and Midpoint, and a strong ADXR trend reading. The Ultimate Oscillator exiting oversold territory adds a momentum twist, suggesting the selling pressure may still have room to run. Together, these signals point to a firmly bearish short-term bias, with price likely to test the nearest support at 0.55380 if the current momentum holds.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is well supported: the 15-minute and 1-hour charts show solid or very strong bearish trends, while the 30-minute and 2-hour are forming bearish trends. However, the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes remain bullish but choppy, which could act as a counter-trend force. The daily chart is bearish and solid, lending weight to the downside. The key resistance to watch is 0.56496; a break above that would invalidate the bearish setup, while a sustained move below support would confirm the continuation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (ADXR, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA Price, Midpoint) all point to a retreating price, reinforcing the bearish signal.
▼ The Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs adds a classic trend-confirmation element.
▼ Strong bearish trend scores on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes support the short-term downside.
▼ The daily chart is bearish and solid, providing a longer-term backdrop favoring the sell.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes are bullish (though choppy), which could lead to a bounce or reversal against the signal.
▲ The Ultimate Oscillator exiting oversold suggests some selling exhaustion; a bounce could occur before further downside.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.56496, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The 30-minute trend strength is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the signal may be early in its development.