NZD/USD – 4H – BUY
BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: CTI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DPO Zero Cross Up +7 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for NZD/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDFed Governor Jefferson Speech●●○in 6h
- November 16, 2026USDNY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index●●○in 2 days
- November 16, 2026NZDRBNZ Financial Stability Report●●○in 3 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▲ | DPO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.14 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 0.91 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.70 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A cluster of bullish indicators on the 4H chart suggests a potential bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.
- The signal is likely a counter-trend move; watch for resistance at 0.56581 to confirm upside.
- Support at 0.55274 is critical; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- Mixed timeframes indicate caution; the 15M bullish trend is weak, while higher timeframes remain bearish.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 30-minute and daily charts, and weaker bearish trends on the 1H, 2H, and 12H timeframes. The 15-minute chart shows a nascent bullish trend, while the 4H and 8H are choppy and sideways. This mixed picture suggests that the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56581 and support at 0.55274. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case.
- ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, BBANDS) align to signal upward momentum.
- ▲ Price retreating from trendline and midpoint levels suggests buying interest at support.
- ▲ The 15-minute chart shows early bullish trend formation, supporting a short-term bounce.
- ▲ Signal probability of 70% and moderate strength indicate a reasonably high conviction.
- ▼ The prevailing bearish trend across most timeframes could overwhelm the bullish signal.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55274 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Choppy 4H and 8H conditions may lead to false signals or sideways movement.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.56581 is nearby and could cap upside if not broken.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.56581 | 2026-11-05 |
| R2 | 0.57076 | 2026-10-27 |
| R3 | 0.57104 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 0.55274 | 2026-11-06 |