USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.34 %
Entry
158.009
Target
158.543 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.669 −0.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 13h
  • TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 13h
  • TomorrowUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 1h 91%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up indicator 2.53
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.38
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.36
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.30
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.25
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ Hammer candlestick 1.23
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.21
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.20
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish confluence on the 1H timeframe, but the higher-timeframe trend is bearish and choppy.
  • Key resistance at 158.543 is the immediate upside target; a break above confirms bullish momentum.
  • Support at 157.669 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
  • The signal is counter-trend, so expect potential resistance and limited upside unless the broader trend shifts.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is a strong bullish confluence, firing a cluster of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals. The AROON Cross Up and AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicate a fresh uptrend is establishing, while the BOP Zero Cross Up confirms buying pressure. The DEMA Retreat Up and EMA 200 Retreat Up suggest price is pulling back to a rising moving average, a classic continuation setup. The STOCHF KD Cross Up adds short-term momentum confirmation, and the HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up implies a higher-timeframe trendline is providing support. Together, these signals point to a bullish reversal or continuation from the current level.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, with the 1H trend score at only 1/5 and choppy/sideways conditions dominating. This suggests the bullish signal is counter-trend and may face resistance. The nearest resistance at 158.543 is a critical level; a break above would confirm the bullish move, while failure could see a return to the downside. Support at 157.669 is the key invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA 200, HT TRENDLINE) align in the bullish direction, increasing signal reliability.
  • ▲ The retreat up patterns suggest price is finding support at key moving averages and a higher-timeframe trendline.
  • ▲ The very strong signal strength and high probability (95%) indicate robust momentum behind the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could overpower the 1H bullish signal, leading to a failed breakout.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions may result in false signals and whipsaw price action.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.669 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.
  • ▼ The 1H trend score of 1/5 suggests weak trend conviction; momentum could fade quickly.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.54300 2026-11-06
R2 158.67400 2026-11-04
R3 158.76800 2026-11-03
S1 157.66900 2026-11-09
S2 157.25500 2026-11-06
S3 156.96200 2026-10-30

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