AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 8× UPDATED

2026-11-11 17:00 UTC 13 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.39 %

Entry

0.68490

Target

0.68244 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68854 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (84.25)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 5h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.40
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.35
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.03
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.88
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on AUD/USD 1H, backed by a Bear Flag pattern and multiple momentum indicators.
All timeframes from 15m to 8h show solid bearish trends, with 12h and 1d forming bearish trends.
Key levels: resistance at 0.68854 and support at 0.68436; a break below support could accelerate downside.
The signal clusters multiple signal groups (indicator, chart pattern, candlestick) for high confluence.

The AUD/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, chart patterns, and candlestick confirmations. The Bear Flag pattern on the 1H chart suggests a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, while the BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Down all align to indicate strong selling momentum. The additional nine signals reinforce the bearish bias, giving the signal a very strong strength and a 91% probability.

Trend alignment across timeframes is broadly bearish, with solid trends on the 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h charts, and trend formation on the 12h and 1d. This multi-timeframe confluence supports the continuation of the move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.68854, which should hold as new support/resistance, and the nearest support at 0.68436, a break of which could open further downside. A failure to hold below the resistance or a reclaim of it would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment across 15m to 8h provides strong trend continuity.
▼ Bear Flag pattern on 1H suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, WILLR) all confirm bearish pressure.
▼ DEMA and EMA retreats indicate that price is pulling back within a larger downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ If price reclaims the 0.68854 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Higher timeframe (12h, 1d) trends are only forming, so a reversal could occur if those turn bullish.
▲ Momentum may be overextended after the sharp decline, leading to a bounce.
▲ Watch for any bullish candlestick patterns or divergence on the 1H that could signal a trend change.