AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-11 10:00 UTC 21 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.37 %

Entry

0.68693

Target

0.68854 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68436 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 5h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.41
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.96
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.56
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30M chart, but it's a counter-trend bounce against a bearish broader trend.
Oversold exits and crossovers across multiple oscillators (CCI, StochRSI, KDJ) confirm momentum turning up.
Watch 0.68854 resistance for upside potential; a break above could extend the bounce.
Invalidation lies at 0.68436 support; losing this level would negate the bullish setup.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by CCI and Williams %R oversold exits, a StochRSI and KDJ cross up, and a Hull Moving Average break up, alongside a bullish candle pattern. The signal carries a 90% probability and very strong strength, indicating that momentum is turning higher after a compressed, oversold condition. However, the broader trend across timeframes is firmly bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid downtrends (3/5) and the 1D still trending down. This suggests the current setup is a counter-trend bounce within a larger decline, not a reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.68854 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.68436 underpins the move. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, but the bearish higher-timeframe alignment caps expectations.

Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a bearish context. The confluence of multiple oscillator oversold exits and crossovers points to a sharp, short-term recovery, but the trend scores across timeframes argue for caution. The 15M and 30M are choppy (1/5), so the bounce may be erratic. Key levels to watch: a close above 0.68854 would open the door for further upside, while a drop back below 0.68436 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the strong signal strength, the bias is for a push toward resistance, but traders should manage risk tightly and avoid holding against the higher-timeframe trend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, Williams %R) and bullish crossovers (StochRSI, KDJ) align on the 30M chart.
▲ Hull Moving Average break up and a bullish candle pattern add confluence to the signal.
▲ Signal probability of 90% with very strong strength indicates high conviction in the short-term move.
▲ Price is near support, providing a defined risk level for the trade.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes from 15M to 1D are bearish, with solid trends on 4H and 8H, which could cap upside.
▼ The 15M and 30M trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bounce may lack follow-through.
▼ A drop below 0.68436 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.68854 is relatively close, limiting the reward-to-risk ratio.