AUD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-10 22:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.42 %

Entry

0.68834

Target

0.70246 +2.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68542 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 653 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 653 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 5h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	3.13
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.77
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 4H chart suggests a potential short-term bounce.
Higher timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move unless resistance breaks.
Watch the 0.70246 resistance; a break could signal a larger reversal, while rejection favors the downtrend.
The 0.68542 support is the invalidation level for this bullish signal.

The AUD/USD 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of six indicators and a candlestick pattern. The CCI OS Exit, MACD Signal Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Break Up, and a Closing Marubozu Bullish all point to a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish, suggesting that the recent downtrend may be reversing. The signal is supported by a cluster of bullish signals that often appear at market turning points, especially after a prolonged decline.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 1H, 4H, and 8H charts. This creates a conflicting picture: the 4H signal suggests a short-term bounce, but the larger trend is still down. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a more significant reversal, while failure to hold above it may mean the bounce is just a retracement within the broader downtrend. The nearest support at 0.68542 is the key invalidation level if the bullish momentum fades.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align: CCI OS Exit, MACD cross, STOCH cross, HMA retreat, ZLMA break, and a bullish Marubozu candle.
▲ The signal strength is very strong with 100% probability, indicating high conviction among the indicators.
▲ The bullish candlestick pattern (Closing Marubozu) adds weight to the reversal case.
▲ The signal occurs after a downtrend, often a precursor to a bounce or reversal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 4H, 8H) are solidly bearish, which could overwhelm the 4H bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a strong barrier; if it holds, the bounce could fail.
▼ Momentum may fade if the bullish indicators lose steam, especially if the price fails to break resistance.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68542 would invalidate the bullish signal and confirm the downtrend.