BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-12 20:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

71,485.41

Target

71,255.02 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

74,811.45 −4.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,050 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,050 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.65) ▼ Bearish 95 % (48.19)

model score 94.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 16h
13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 20:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.05
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.12
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MACDFIX Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.04
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.01
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal with 94% probability and very strong trend score on the 30-minute chart.
Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Bear Flag, and several indicator crosses.
All lower timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish, with very strong trends on 30m, 4h, and 8h.
Watch for a test of support at 71255.02; a break could accelerate downside, while resistance at 74811.45 may act as a pivot.

The SELL signal on BTC/USDT at the 30-minute timeframe is exceptionally strong, with a 94% probability and very strong trend score. This is driven by a confluence of bearish signals across multiple categories: a Trendline Break Down and Bear Flag pattern, coupled with bearish crosses on MACDFIX, MOM, and STOCHF, plus a BOP Zero Cross Down and a WILLR oversold entry. The DEMA Retreat Down further confirms the bearish momentum. The alignment across timeframes is notably consistent, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to 12 hours showing bearish trends, and the 30-minute, 4-hour, and 8-hour charts exhibiting very strong trend scores. This multi-timeframe confluence strongly supports the bearish outlook.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 74811.45 and support at 71255.02. The bearish momentum is likely to target the support level, with a break below potentially opening further downside. However, the daily timeframe shows only a forming trend (2/5), indicating that the larger trend is not yet fully bearish, which could limit the downside or lead to a bounce. Traders should watch for a potential retest of the broken trendline or bear flag pattern as resistance, and any failure to hold support could signal a continuation. The strength of the signal and the broad alignment across timeframes make this a high-conviction setup, but the daily trend's lack of confirmation introduces a note of caution.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15 minutes to 12 hours, with very strong scores on multiple key timeframes.
▼ Confluence of chart patterns and indicators: Trendline Break Down, Bear Flag, and multiple bearish crosses.
▼ Bearish momentum confirmed by DEMA Retreat Down and BOP Zero Cross Down, indicating selling pressure.
▼ Strong trend scores (4/5) on 30m, 4h, and 8h suggest sustained bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe shows only a forming bearish trend (2/5), which could limit the downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 74811.45 would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift to bullish.
▲ If the price fails to break below support at 71255.02, the bearish momentum may fade, leading to a consolidation or bounce.
▲ The WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce or pullback.