SOL/BTC – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-12 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.94 %

Entry

0.001144

Target

0.001219 +6.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.001116 −2.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 93 % (17.98) ▼ Bearish 7 % (1.33)

model score 6.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.7 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 26.9 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 3,384 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.69
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.12
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.04
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.02
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.58

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 4H bullish signal but higher timeframes are bearish, so treat as counter-trend.
Watch resistance at 0.00122 and support at 0.00112 for confirmation or invalidation.
Momentum indicators align for a bounce, but trend scores show weak short-term bullishness.
Risk management is key: a break below support invalidates the signal.

The BUY signal on SOL/BTC's 4H chart is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and several moving-average retreat patterns, all firing simultaneously with very strong strength and 94% probability. However, the broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes (2H through 1D), with the 4H itself showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict: the signal suggests a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a larger downtrend, but the higher timeframe trend alignment is against it.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.00122 and support at 0.00112. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend. The 15m to 1H timeframes are bullish but choppy, indicating weak momentum. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management, as the higher timeframe trend remains bearish.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, WILLR, moving averages) fired simultaneously, boosting signal strength.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-1H) are bullish, supporting a bounce attempt.
▲ High probability (94%) and very strong strength suggest robust momentum behind the signal.
▲ Retreat patterns indicate price pulling back to moving averages, which often act as support.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (2H-1D) is bearish, so the bounce may be limited.
▼ Choppy price action on lower timeframes could lead to false signals.
▼ Resistance at 0.00122 is nearby and could cap upside.
▼ If support at 0.00112 breaks, the signal is invalidated and downtrend likely resumes.