BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-13 15:30 UTC 23 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.85 %

Entry

68,899.65

Target

74,811.45 +8.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

67,568.00 −1.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 15,558 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 15,558 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 24 % at stop avg −1.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,932 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 45.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 5,101 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 2 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 2 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.14
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.09
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.62
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.46
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.28
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Counter-trend buy signals are firing on the 30M, but the higher timeframes (1H-8H) are strongly bearish.
Expect a possible short-term bounce, but treat it as corrective unless resistance at 74811.45 is broken.
Support at 67568.00 is the key downside level; a break below confirms the bearish trend continues.
Signal strength is weak (55% probability), so risk management is critical.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT is flashing a cluster of counter-trend buy signals, including an Aroon Cross Down, Stoch KD Cross Up, and Williams %R oversold exit, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up suggesting improving buying pressure. However, these signals are firing into a firmly bearish backdrop: the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes all show very strong downtrends (4/5), and the 30M itself is still bearish. The confluence of momentum oscillators turning up from oversold levels hints at a potential short-term bounce, but the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly down, so this is likely a corrective rally rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 74811.45 and support at 67568.00. A bounce toward resistance could offer a shorting opportunity for trend-followers, while a break above 74811.45 would invalidate the bearish higher-timeframe bias. Conversely, a failure near resistance and a push below the 30M swing low would confirm the counter-trend signal has failed. The weak probability (55%) and low strength underscore the need for caution—this is not a high-conviction setup, and traders should wait for confirmation on lower timeframes or a higher-timeframe shift before committing.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (STOCH, WILLR, BOP) are turning up from oversold conditions, suggesting short-term buying pressure.
▲ Aroon Cross Down and HT Phasor signals indicate a potential shift in short-term momentum.
▲ The 30M signal cluster is supported by candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the bounce scenario.
▲ The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways, which may allow the 30M bounce to develop without immediate higher-timeframe resistance.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H is strongly bearish, which typically overrides counter-trend signals.
▼ Resistance at 74811.45 is nearby and could cap any bounce, leading to a reversal back down.
▼ The signal probability is only 55% with weak strength, indicating a high chance of failure.
▼ If price breaks below the 30M swing low (near support at 67568), the counter-trend signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.