BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-13 08:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.88 %

Entry

69,318.23

Target

81,196.01 +17.14 %

closes in profit

Stop

67,819.72 −2.16 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 2,312 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,312 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.53 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.73 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.72 % 22 % at stop avg −3.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +20.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (10.49) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 23.2 % (crypto, 2,298 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 3 days
13:30November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 3 days
15:30November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -0.309MPrevious 4.657Min 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.39
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.18
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum oscillators and a Bullish Engulfing candle suggest a short-term bounce attempt on the 4H chart.
The broader trend is strongly bearish across 30m to 8h, so this is likely a counter-trend move, not a confirmed reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 81,196.01; a break above it could signal more upside, but failure keeps the bearish bias intact.
No clear support level is defined, so manage risk carefully and watch for a break below the recent swing low as invalidation.

The 4H BTC/USDT signal fires a cluster of momentum and candlestick triggers—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and a Bullish Engulfing pattern—pointing to a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt. However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish: the 30m through 8h timeframes all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), and only the 15m shows early bullish formation. This divergence suggests the signal is counter-trend, likely a corrective rally within a larger downtrend rather than a confirmed reversal.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 81,196.01 is the immediate hurdle; a sustained break above it could shift the short-term bias, but the strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes argues for caution. The absence of a defined support level means downside risk is open, so the invalidation for this bullish signal would be a decisive move back below the recent swing low. The signal's high probability (83%) and strong strength reflect the confluence of oversold exits and a bullish engulfing candle, but traders should weigh these against the overwhelming bearish trend scores.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (STOCH, WILLR) and a STOCHRSI bullish crossover align with a momentum shift.
▲ The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds confluence for a potential bounce.
▲ The 15m timeframe is starting to form a bullish trend, which may lead to a short-term recovery.
▲ The signal's high probability (83%) and strong strength reflect robust technical alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30m through 8h timeframes all show very strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm the bullish momentum.
▼ The signal is counter-trend; without a break above 81,196.01, the bounce may fade quickly.
▼ With no defined support, a break below the recent swing low would invalidate the bullish setup and could accelerate selling.
▼ The higher timeframe bias remains bearish, so any rally is likely to face strong resistance.