#prediction markets

₿ Crypto

Senate Unanimously Passes Resolution Against Clemency for FTX's Bankman-Fried as Pardon Odds Dip Below 1%

July 16, 2026 (45 days ago)

U.S. Senate unanimously opposes clemency for Sam Bankman-Fried, driving prediction market pardon odds below 1% and reinforcing regulatory oversight narratives in crypto.

BTC/USD

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₿ Crypto

Base Creator Steps Back After Social Bet Fails; Prediction Markets Outpace Layer-2 Network

July 16, 2026 (45 days ago)

Jesse Pollak leaves leadership of Base App after conceding social experiences trail prediction markets and perps, raising concerns over Coinbase's Layer-2 strategy.

COIN

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₿ Crypto

Stanford: 5-Minute Bitcoin Prediction Markets Enable Settlement Manipulation

July 15, 2026 (45 days ago)

Stanford researchers find that five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets on Polymarket enable spot price manipulation around settlement, proposing longer windows as a potential…

BTC/USD

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📈 Stocks

Kalshi Expands Into AI Compute Derivatives, Lifting Nvidia and AI Hardware Stocks

July 14, 2026 (46 days ago)

Kalshi's push into AI compute derivatives underlines the growing market for AI hardware, driving bullish sentiment in Nvidia and AMD.

NVDA AMD

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₿ Crypto

Crypto prediction markets hit $50B volume in World Cup, topping sportsbooks

July 14, 2026 (47 days ago)

Decentralized prediction markets using cryptocurrency reached $50B in monthly volume during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, eclipsing traditional sportsbooks and highlighting blockchain's…

DKNG BTC/USD

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₿ Crypto

2026 World Cup Betting: Prediction Markets Gain Tax Edge Over Sportsbooks

July 12, 2026 (49 days ago)

2026 World Cup bettors may pay lower taxes on prediction market winnings, giving blockchain-based platforms a structural edge over traditional sportsbooks like…

DKNG FLTR BTC/USD

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📈 Stocks

Goldman, Morgan Stanley restrict staff prediction market trades on insider fears

July 10, 2026 (51 days ago)

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley tighten employee trading rules on prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi amid rising insider trading fears, highlighting regulatory…

GS MS

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₿ Crypto

Polymarket Files for US Margin Trading Approval After Rival Kalshi Gets Go-Ahead

July 10, 2026 (51 days ago)

Polymarket’s margin trading application to serve U.S. customers, coming after Kalshi’s March approval, signals expanding crypto-prediction market access and potential upside for…

POL/USD USDC/USD

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📈 Stocks

Goldman Sachs Bans Employees From Trading on Prediction Markets

July 9, 2026 (51 days ago)

Goldman Sachs prohibits its employees from using financial prediction markets, reinforcing internal controls against potential misuse of confidential information.

GS

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🌐 Macro

Goldman Sachs Bans Employee Bets on Political and Financial Prediction Markets

July 9, 2026 (51 days ago)

Goldman Sachs bans staff from betting on political and financial outcomes through prediction markets, citing compliance and insider trading risks amid rising…

GS

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🌐 Macro

Kalshi shows 54% odds of Fed rate hike by 2027 as minutes split

July 9, 2026 (51 days ago)

Kalshi prediction markets price 54% odds of a US Federal Reserve rate hike by 2027 as the latest FOMC minutes expose a…

US10Y DXY

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📈 Stocks

Burry Bets on DraftKings and Flutter Amid Prediction Market Crackdown

July 8, 2026 (52 days ago)

Burry's bullish sportsbook bets signal expectations of a regulatory shift against prediction markets, potentially lifting DraftKings and Flutter stock prices as competition…

DKNG FLUT

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