Analyst report 💱 Forex 🌍 Japan

USD/JPY Faces Mid-Term Downside Risk Toward 152.08 Level

UOB strategist Quek Ser Leang forecasts short-term consolidation for USD/JPY between 156.35 and 158.70, while maintaining a bearish outlook for the mid-term with a target of 152.08.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted (Forex). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: USD/JPY ↓ 5/10 (60% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

USD/JPY
Bearish 🤖 60%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

UOB strategist Quek Ser Leang anticipates a period of short-term consolidation for USD/JPY, projecting a range between 156.35 and 158.70 over the next one to three weeks. However, the medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the strategist identifies significant downside momentum that could push the pair toward the January low of 152.08 within a one to three-month timeframe.

Catalysts
  • ▼ Rapid downside momentum identified on a 1-3 month horizon
  • ▼ Potential test of the January low at 152.08
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Short-term consolidation range of 156.35 to 158.70 limiting immediate downside
  • ▲ Intraday trading stability between 157.10 and 158.10
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
What is the expected short-term trading range for USD/JPY?

UOB expects a broad consolidation range between 156.35 and 158.70 over the next 1-3 weeks.

What is the medium-term target for USD/JPY?

The strategist flags potential weakness toward the January low of 152.08 over a 1-3 month horizon.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • USD/JPY is expected to trade within a 156.35–158.70 range over the next 1–3 weeks.
  • Mid-term momentum remains bearish with a potential decline toward the 152.08 support level.
  • Intraday price action is projected to remain confined between 157.10 and 158.10.

📝 Executive Summary

United Overseas Bank strategist Quek Ser Leang anticipates a period of consolidation for USD/JPY within the 156.35 to 158.70 range over the next few weeks. Despite this near-term stability, the strategist warns that underlying bearish momentum remains, potentially pushing the pair toward the January low of 152.08 in the coming months.

❓ FAQ

What is the outlook for USD/JPY over the next few months?

UOB strategists maintain a bearish outlook, suggesting that rapid downside momentum could drive the pair toward the January low of 152.08.