News report 💱 Forex 🌍 GLOBAL

AUD/USD Slips to 0.6775 as US 10-Year Yield Hits 5.14% on Inflation Data

AUD/USD faces downward pressure as US 10-year yields reach 5.14% following a 0.3% rise in October core CPI, signaling a potential shift toward more aggressive Federal Reserve policy.

📅 November 13, 2026 🕐 1 min read

3 assets impacted (Forex, Bonds). Net bias: 2 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: AUD/USD ↓ 6/10 (85% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (3)

AUD/USD

Bearish 🤖 85%

📅 Short-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

AUD/USD fell 0.43% to around 0.6775 on Friday as US 10-year yields rose to about 5.14%, their highest in three weeks, after October core CPI rose 0.3% MoM versus 0.2% expected. Hotter inflation and Chicago Fed's Goolsbee's warning of a possible more aggressive policy response favor the USD, while the RBA is seen as done tightening. A daily close below support at 0.6766 would open the way to 0.6663.

Catalysts

▼ October core CPI +0.3% MoM vs 0.2% expected, third straight 0.3% rise
▼ US 10-year yield at ~5.14%, highest in three weeks

Risk Factors

▲ RSI (14) near 30.7 hints at oversold, stretched downside conditions without a clear reversal signal
▲ October PPI rose 0.3% MoM, below the 0.4% expected, slightly tempering tightening bets

USD

Bullish 🤖 80%

📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM in October, above the 0.2% expected, lifting the three-month annualized core pace to 3.75%, the fastest since April 2024. Rising US 10-year yields near 5.14% and Fed commentary open to a more aggressive response support the Dollar against risk-sensitive currencies like the AUD.

Catalysts

▲ Hotter-than-expected October CPI with core +0.3% MoM
▲ US 10-year Treasury yield climbing to ~5.14%

Risk Factors

▼ October PPI rose 0.3% MoM, below the 0.4% expected
▼ Annual PPI acceleration to 6.5% from 6.3% shows mixed inflation signals

US10Y

Bullish 🤖 80%

📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

The 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to around 5.14%, its highest level in three weeks, after October core CPI rose 0.3% MoM versus 0.2% expected. Persistent inflation and Goolsbee's warning of a potentially more aggressive Fed response keep upward pressure on yields, while the softer PPI only slightly tempers the move.

Catalysts

▲ October core CPI +0.3% MoM vs 0.2% expected
▲ Yield reaching ~5.14%, a three-week high

Risk Factors

▼ October PPI came in at 0.3% MoM, below the 0.4% expected
▼ Annual PPI rose to 6.5% from 6.3%, a mixed signal

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/USD declined 0.43% to 0.6775 as US 10-year Treasury yields reached a three-week high of 5.14%.
October core CPI rose 0.3% MoM, marking the third consecutive month at that rate and pushing the three-month annualized pace to 3.75%.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated that worsening inflation data could justify a more aggressive monetary policy response.
The pair is testing horizontal support at 0.6766, with a daily close below this level potentially exposing 0.6663.

📝 Executive Summary

The Australian Dollar fell 0.43% to 0.6775 on Friday as persistent US inflation data fueled expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening. US 10-year Treasury yields climbed to a three-week high of 5.14% after core CPI rose 0.3% MoM in October, outpacing the 0.2% forecast. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warned that worsening inflation could necessitate a more aggressive policy response, further pressuring the risk-sensitive Aussie.

❓ FAQ

AUD/USD · Why is the Australian Dollar falling?

Stronger-than-expected US inflation pushed US yields to around 5.14%, making Dollar assets more attractive, while the RBA appears to have finished its tightening cycle, leaving AUD/USD under downward pressure.

AUD/USD · What levels matter now for AUD/USD?

Support sits at 0.6766, with a break exposing 0.6663; resistance is at 0.6834, then 0.6865 and 0.6894, with the 100-day and 200-day SMAs near 0.7025 and 0.7053 capping the broader trend.

USD · What is supporting the US Dollar right now?

Persistent US inflation, with core CPI up 0.3% MoM in October and a three-month annualized pace of 3.75%, is lifting Treasury yields and expectations of further Fed tightening, supporting the Dollar.

US10Y · Why did the 10-year US yield rise?

Stronger-than-expected October core inflation of 0.3% MoM, the third consecutive 0.3% rise, pushed the yield to around 5.14%, its highest in three weeks, as investors reassess the Fed's policy outlook toward further tightening.

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