BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 00:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

82,397.90

Target

82,634.30 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

79,800.00 −3.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,175 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,175 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT SINE Cross Up, TRIMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↓ −13.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 81 % (12.21) ▼ Bearish 19 % (2.86)

model score 42.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 32.6 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,436 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 00:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.36
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A short-term bullish bounce is forming on the 30-minute chart, backed by oversold momentum indicators.
The broader trend is bearish, especially on the 4-hour, so this is a counter-trend long with limited upside expectations.
Watch the nearest resistance at 82,634.30; a break above could extend the bounce, while a drop below 79,800.00 would negate the signal.
Choppy conditions across most timeframes mean the move may be erratic—use tight risk management.

The 30-minute BUY signal for BTC/USDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators that suggest a short-term bounce within a broader bearish structure. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and STC OS Entry point to oversold conditions, while the BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, and TRIMA Retreat Up indicate a shift toward the mean. The HT SINE Cross Up and TTM TREND Trend Up add to the bullish near-term momentum. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 4-hour showing a solid downtrend (strength 3/5) and the 2-hour and daily in trend formation. This creates a conflicting picture: the signal is a counter-trend long against the larger bearish bias.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 82,634.30 and support at 79,800.00. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case. The signal's strength and high probability (81%) suggest the bounce may have legs, but traders should treat it as a tactical opportunity within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal. The choppy/sideways readings across most timeframes (strength 1/5) indicate low conviction, so expect volatility and potential whipsaws.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (STOCHF, STC, TTM) align to signal a short-term upward push.
▲ Price crossing above the middle Bollinger Band and key EMAs suggests a shift toward the mean.
▲ Oversold conditions (STC OS Entry) often precede a technical rebound.
▲ The signal shows strong probability (81%) and strength, increasing confidence in the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4-hour chart shows a solid bearish trend, which could overwhelm the 30-minute bounce.
▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h) are bearish, adding selling pressure and limiting upside.
▼ Choppy/sideways readings (strength 1/5) across most timeframes indicate weak momentum and potential whipsaws.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 79,800.00 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger further downside.