EUR/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 04:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %

Entry

1.12177

Target

1.12411 +0.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11129 −0.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 606 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 606 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 90 % (36.81) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.26)

model score 89.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.38
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H timeframe, but higher timeframes remain firmly bearish—treat this as a potential counter-trend move.
Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) are aligned, but choppy lower timeframes suggest limited follow-through.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12411 and support at 1.11129; watch these for confirmation or invalidation.
Trend scores are weak (1/5) on lower timeframes, indicating the bullish push may lack smoothness and could reverse quickly.

The 2H EUR/USD signal is strongly bullish (89% probability, very strong) with a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators firing simultaneously: ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and DEMA Retreat Up, plus 12 additional signals. This confluence suggests that buying pressure is building across multiple dimensions—momentum, rate-of-change, and stochastic measures—while the DEMA retreat indicates a pullback within an uptrend, offering a potential entry point. However, the lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are all bullish but choppy/sideways with a trend score of only 1/5, indicating that the move is not yet smooth and could be prone to whipsaws. The higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are firmly bearish with strong trend scores (3/5 to 4/5), creating a clear conflict: the short-term bullish signal is fighting against a longer-term downtrend. This divergence means the bullish signal may be a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal, and traders should be cautious about expecting sustained upside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12411 and support at 1.11129; a break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the larger bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of many momentum and rate-of-change indicators firing simultaneously, suggesting strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ DEMA retreat up implies a pullback within an uptrend, offering a potential entry at a better price.
▲ All lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are bullish, even if choppy, supporting the immediate direction.
▲ The 89% probability and 'very strong' strength rating indicate high confidence in the signal's short-term validity.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are bearish with strong trend scores, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish move.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on lower timeframes (1/5 trend score) suggests the move may lack momentum and could stall.
▼ If price breaks below support at 1.11129, the bullish signal is invalidated and the larger bearish trend likely resumes.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down (bearish stochastic) within the signal adds a cautionary note, indicating possible short-term pullback.