NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-16 05:30 UTC 44 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

0.56391

Target

0.56501 +0.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55910 −0.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, T3 Break Up, ALMA Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (23.09) ▼ Bearish 10 % (2.54)

model score 90.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.87
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.73
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.25
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.45
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving-average retreats and a price break up on the 30M chart point to strong short-term bullish momentum.
The 15M timeframe confirms the move, but higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend rally.
Key support to watch is 0.55910; a break below invalidates the bullish signal.
Expect choppy price action in the near term given the sideways trends on multiple timeframes.

The 30-minute NZD/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, all from the indicator group. Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) plus midpoint and midprice retreats, along with a MAMA price break upward, indicate strong buying pressure at this specific timeframe. The very high probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest a high-conviction setup, likely a sharp rebound off a key support level.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15-minute chart confirms a solid bullish trend, the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are all bullish but choppy/sideways, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet cleanly established. More concerning, the 4-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes are bearish, with the daily trend being very strong. This suggests the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest support is at 0.55910, which is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ A dense cluster of 14 bullish signals fired simultaneously, indicating strong confluence on the 30M chart.
▲ The 15M timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, providing short-term alignment.
▲ The MAMA price break up adds a price-action confirmation to the moving-average retreats.
▲ High probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest a high-quality setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the daily trend very strong; this could overpower the short-term bounce.
▼ The 30M, 1H, and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55910 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.
▼ Counter-trend signals are often less reliable; watch for fading momentum if the bounce stalls.