USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 05:30 UTC 42 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

0.82738

Target

0.82584 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83171 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (25.52)

model score 15.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	3.01
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.27
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.86
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.87
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart, with multiple moving average breaks and retreats.
All intraday timeframes (15m to 12h) are bearish, though the 1-day trend is still bullish.
Key levels: resistance at 0.83171 (invalidation) and support at 0.82608 (target).
Watch for choppy price action on lower timeframes; momentum may be erratic.

The USD/CHF pair is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute timeframe, with a very strong probability. The confluence of multiple moving average breaks and retreats (BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Break Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down) indicates a broad-based rejection of higher prices. This is further supported by the bearish alignment across all intraday timeframes (15m through 12h), with the trend scores strengthening from choppy/sideways (1/5) to trend forming (2/5) as you move from the 30-minute to the 1-hour and higher timeframes. The signal suggests that sellers are in control and that the pair is likely to continue lower, targeting the nearest support at 0.82608.

However, the higher timeframe (1d) is still bullish, which poses a potential headwind. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum may be erratic. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83171, which acts as the invalidation zone for this bearish setup, and the nearest support at 0.82608, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a failure of the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ High number of overlapping bearish indicators (moving averages, KAMA, T3) all pointing down.
▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all intraday timeframes, with trend scores improving to 2/5 on higher timeframes.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with 100% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe is still bullish, which could overpower the intraday bearish momentum.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways, meaning the immediate move may lack follow-through.
▲ A reclaim of the resistance level at 0.83171 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a squeeze higher.
▲ Watch for a potential bounce off the support at 0.82608, which could lead to a consolidation before further downside.