USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 05:30 UTC 43 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

157.956

Target

157.546 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −0.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Symmetrical Triangle, MIDPOINT Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −12.4 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +21% Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (5.71) ▼ Bearish 91 % (57.98)

model score 37.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.45
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.52
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	MCGD Break Down	indicator	2.28
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.27
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.08
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.34
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The Symmetrical Triangle breakdown on the 30-minute chart is a strong bearish trigger, confirmed by a wave of momentum indicators.
All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, but choppy and sideways, indicating weak trend strength outside the 2-hour frame.
Watch the nearest support at 157.93000; a break below it would reinforce the bearish case.
The daily bullish trend is the main counter-signal, so any bounce should be treated with caution.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has broken down from a Symmetrical Triangle, unleashing a very strong bearish signal with 91% probability. The breakdown is confirmed by a dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators: AROON Strong Downtrend, MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing down, alongside a DEMA Retreat Down and an EMA Break Down. This confluence of pattern and indicator signals points to a decisive shift in short-term momentum, with the immediate bias firmly lower.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though choppy and sideways on most frames. The 2-hour chart is the only one showing a forming trend, suggesting that while the short-term breakdown is sharp, the broader market lacks strong directional conviction. The daily timeframe is still bullish, which acts as a counterweight. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 157.93000 and resistance at 158.24700; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of chart pattern (Symmetrical Triangle breakdown) and multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, moving averages).
▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all intraday timeframes, with the 2-hour chart showing a forming downtrend.
▼ Very high signal probability (91%) and very strong strength rating, indicating high conviction in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe is still bullish, which could limit the downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ Most timeframes show choppy, sideways action, suggesting low trend strength and potential for false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 158.24700, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators like STOCHF KD Cross Up could indicate a brief counter-move, so watch for a pullback before the downtrend resumes.