USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY With the trend 11× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %
Entry
158.565
Target
158.853 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.872 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, HMA Break Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 6h
  • TodayUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 6h
  • TodayUSDFed Governor Bowman Speech●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 73%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.70
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.62
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.57
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.51
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.41
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.36
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.35
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.25
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.85
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.77
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.63

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 30M chart with a cluster of trend and momentum indicators all firing in the same direction.
  • Immediate trend is bullish on lower timeframes (15M, 30M), but higher timeframes (8H and above) are still bearish, creating a mixed picture.
  • Key resistance at 158.67400 is the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the move, while support at 157.87200 is the invalidation zone.
  • High signal strength (100% probability) suggests a high-confidence setup, but traders should respect the higher timeframe bearish bias.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastic KD Cross Up, breakouts above the DEMA, EMA, and KAMA, and a retreat upward from the EMA 200 and a higher-timeframe trendline. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong buying pressure at the 30M timeframe, with the signal strength rated as very strong and a probability of 100%. The immediate trend is bullish across the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes, with the 1-hour and 2-hour also showing bullish but choppy or forming trends, suggesting that the move is still in its early stages and may have room to develop.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.67400 and support at 157.87200. A break above resistance could confirm the continuation of the bullish move, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, and 1D) remain bearish, which adds a layer of caution. Traders should monitor whether the bullish momentum can persist against this longer-term downtrend, and watch for any signs of reversal at the resistance level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (STOCH, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA) all aligning on the 30M timeframe.
  • ▲ Price retreating upward from the EMA 200 and a higher-timeframe trendline, indicating a bounce off key support levels.
  • ▲ Bullish trend on the 15M and 30M timeframes with solid trend scores, supporting the immediate upside move.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability, suggesting high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside and reverse the move.
  • ▼ Resistance at 158.67400 is a nearby hurdle; failure to break above could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ The 1H and 4H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong momentum on those timeframes.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 157.87200, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the bearish higher timeframe trend could reassert.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 73%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.67400 2026-11-04
S1 157.87200 2026-11-10
S2 157.66900 2026-11-09

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