AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-13 02:00 UTC 17 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

108.912

Target

108.496 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.566 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Scalping

▲ Bullish 15 % (2.31) ▼ Bearish 85 % (13.40)

model score 85.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 2 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.05
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.59

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish indicators and candlestick patterns points to continued downside on AUD/JPY.
The trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the strongest alignment on the 1-hour chart.
Watch the support at 108.496 and resistance at 109.566 for potential breakout or reversal.
The 15-minute bullish signal is weak and likely to be overridden by the larger bearish trend.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Stochastic Fast KD cross down, retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and the 200-period EMA/SMA, and a bearish candlestick pattern (Matching Low, Gapping Down Doji). These signals collectively indicate that the recent upward momentum has stalled and that sellers are regaining control. The alignment across multiple timeframes—from 30 minutes up to 12 hours—shows a solid to very strong bearish trend, while the 15-minute bullish signal is only a weak counter-trend, suggesting that any bounce is likely to be limited.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 109.566 and the nearest support at 108.496. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a move above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong signal strength and high probability (85%) reinforce the bearish outlook, but traders should monitor the price action around these levels for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes.
▼ Multiple indicators (Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, EMA/SMA) all pointing lower.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Matching Low, Gapping Down Doji) confirm selling pressure.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (85%) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe shows a bullish trend, which could lead to short-term bounces.
▲ The daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting that the broader trend may lack momentum.
▲ A move above the resistance at 109.566 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ If the stochastic oscillator reaches oversold levels, a bullish crossover could occur, signaling a potential reversal.