USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.02 %
Entry
0.83286
Target
0.83486 +0.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82845 −0.53 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 489 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 5%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.86
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ ULTOSC OS Exit indicator 1.50
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.47
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.38
▼ TSI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.21
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.04
▼ MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 0.92
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on the 30m chart suggest a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.83486; a break above could signal a stronger recovery.
  • The support at 0.82845 is the critical invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
  • The signal is a counter-trend move, so expect resistance from the larger downtrend.
The 30-minute USD/CHF chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and ULTOSC OS Exit, alongside EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Up patterns. These indicators collectively suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in, potentially marking a short-term bottom. The candlestick signals reinforce this view, pointing to a possible reversal from the recent bearish move.

However, the trend across higher timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h all showing downtrends. The 4h and 8h are bullish but choppy, and the daily is only trend forming. This mixed picture means the bullish signal on the 30m is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.83486 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.82845 is the key level to hold; a break below that would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHF, ULTOSC) show strong confluence.
  • ▲ EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Up patterns indicate that price has pulled back to key moving averages and is bouncing.
  • ▲ The 4h and 8h timeframes are bullish, providing a longer-term backdrop that could support a recovery.
  • ▲ The signal strength is strong (78% probability), suggesting high conviction in the short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend on the 30m and higher timeframes (1h, 2h) is bearish, which could cap any upside.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.82845 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely lead to further declines.
  • ▼ The higher timeframe bullish trends are choppy/sideways, so they may not provide strong support.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce fails to clear the nearest resistance, leading to a resumption of the downtrend.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 05:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83486 2026-10-12
S1 0.82845 2026-10-12

Tags

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