USD/CHF – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.37 %
Entry
0.82991
Target
0.82683 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83950 −1.16 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 992 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 992 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 1h 100%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.18
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.34
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.07
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.87
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 1H chart align with solid downtrends on the 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
  • Immediate resistance at 0.83950 is the key level to watch; a break below support at 0.82845 could accelerate selling.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are still bullish, so this is a short-term bearish signal within a larger uptrend.
  • The TTM TREND indicator showing 'trend up' is a minor counter-signal, but the overall bearish confluence is strong.
The USD/CHF 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and a Northern Doji candlestick. This confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals points to strong selling pressure in the near term. The bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, all registering solid trend scores, confirms that the short-term trend is firmly down. However, the picture becomes less clear on higher timeframes: the 2h is only just forming a downtrend, the 4h is choppy/sideways, and the 8h, 12h, and 1D are all bullish. This divergence means the current sell signal is primarily a short-term opportunity, and traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83950, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.82845. A break below this support would likely extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. The TTM TREND indicator showing a trend up is a slight counter-signal, but the overall weight of evidence is bearish. Given the strong probability and signal strength, the setup favors a continuation of the decline, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of signals: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and Northern Doji.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend scores on the 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes confirm short-term momentum.
  • ▼ The proximity of resistance at 0.83950 provides a clear level for potential entry or invalidation.
  • ▼ High signal probability (85%) and very strong strength indicate a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction on that horizon.
  • ▲ The TTM TREND indicator showing 'trend up' is a conflicting signal that could indicate a bounce.
  • ▲ A break back above the 0.83950 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.82845 2026-10-12

Tags

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