USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED
13 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.34 %
Entry
0.82713
Target
0.83950 +1.50 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.81923 −0.96 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 12 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 992 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 992 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday
▲ Bullish 100 % (14.54) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 6.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 13 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 1h 7%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 2.57
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.83
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.65
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.57
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.35
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.06
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on 1H suggest a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is not yet aligned.
  • Resistance at 0.83950 is the immediate hurdle; watch for a break or rejection.
  • The Squeeze Fire indicates volatility is expanding, which could lead to a sharp move.
  • The Death Cross on SMA 50/200 is a bearish overlay that may cap upside.
The 1H USD/CHF signal is a bullish confluence firing against a backdrop of lower-timeframe bearish trends. The combination of a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, and an Inverted Hammer suggests a potential short-term bounce, with the Squeeze Fire indicating a volatility expansion that could fuel the move. The bullish AO Saucer adds momentum confirmation.

However, the trend across timeframes is mixed: the 15m through 4H are bearish, while the 8H through 1D are bullish. This means the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a key level to watch; a break above could shift the short-term bias, while a failure may see the bearish trend resume. The absence of a defined nearest support level increases uncertainty for downside targets.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, HMA) on the 1H chart.
  • ▲ Bullish AO Saucer pattern adds momentum support.
  • ▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick signals a potential reversal from lows.
  • ▲ Longer-term (8H-1D) bullish trends provide a structural backdrop.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The Death Cross (SMA 50/200) is a bearish signal that could override the bounce.
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-4H) are all bearish, indicating the bounce may be short-lived.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.83950 is nearby and could stall the move.
  • ▼ No defined support level means downside risk is less clear; a drop below recent lows would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-15 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14

Tags

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