AUD/USD – 8H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.20 %

Entry

0.70353

Target

0.71398 +1.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −2.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 300 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 300 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, CTI OB Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 91 % (16.65) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.62)

model score 3.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.58
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.20
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.31
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.83
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 8H chart with very strong strength and 86% probability.
All intraday timeframes (15m to 8H) are bullish, but with a choppy/sideways bias, indicating a gradual uptrend.
Key resistance at 0.71398 is the immediate upside target; a break above could open further gains.
Support at 0.68941 is the critical invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.

The AUD/USD 8H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is reasserting itself after a pullback, with momentum turning upward across multiple technical studies. The signal strength is very strong with an 86% probability, and the alignment across all intraday timeframes (15m through 8H) is uniformly bullish, albeit with a choppy/sideways characterization (trend score 1/5). This choppiness implies that while the bias is up, the move may not be smooth and could face intraday noise.

The daily timeframe shows a bearish trend that is still forming (score 2/5), which introduces a potential conflict. However, the bullish signals on the 8H and lower timeframes may be an early indication of a shift, or they could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.71398, which bulls need to overcome to confirm further upside, and the nearest support at 0.68941, which serves as the invalidation zone. A break below support would negate the bullish setup, while a sustained move above resistance would strengthen the case for a trend reversal on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, WILLR, DEMA, EMA, MAMA, etc.) all pointing up, suggesting strong buying pressure.
▲ Uniform bullish trend across all lower timeframes, providing a solid foundation for the 8H signal.
▲ Retreat-up signals indicate that price pulled back to dynamic support and is now bouncing, a classic bullish continuation pattern.
▲ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) increases the likelihood of the move playing out.

Risk Factors

▼ Daily timeframe remains bearish and trend-forming, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ Choppy/sideways behavior on all timeframes (trend score 1/5) suggests limited momentum and potential whipsaws.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish signals and could accelerate selling.
▼ Resistance at 0.71398 is nearby; failure to break it may result in a pullback or consolidation.